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Economic Data and Growth

Economic Data and Growth

Producer Prices Climb Year Over Year as Goods Inflation Accelerates

The Producer Price Index for final demand (also known as wholesale prices) rose 0.5% over the month in March, unchanged from the 0.5% increase in February and below expectations. Over the year, producer prices jumped 4.0%, up from 3.4% in February and the largest 12-month increase since February 2023. Meanwhile, prices for final demand excluding foods, energy and trade services ticked up 0.2% over the month in March after rising 0.5% in February. Prices for these goods advanced 3.6% from March 2025.

Within final demand, prices for services were unchanged in March, after advancing 0.3% in February. Meanwhile, prices for goods soared 1.6% in March, the largest monthly increase since August 2023, after moving up 1.0% in February. Within the final demand services index, prices for airline passenger services rose 2.8%, helping offset the 6.0% drop in the margins for food and alcohol wholesaling. Within the final demand goods index, prices for gasoline surged 15.7%, accounting for nearly half of the March increase. At the same time, prices for fresh and dry vegetables fell 10.7% from February but were up 49.0% from March 2025.

Prices for processed goods for intermediate demand rose 2.6% in March, the largest monthly increase since May 2022, after moving up 1.6% in February. Within the index, prices for diesel fuel soared 42.0% after rising 13.1% in February. Meanwhile, prices for primary nonferrous metals and secondary nonferrous metals were up 67.0% and 41.0% year-over-year, respectively. Over the year, prices for processed goods for intermediate demand rose 6.6%, the largest annual increase since November 2022.

Meanwhile, prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand decreased 2.6% in March, the largest decline since April 2025, after moving up 4.8% in February. The monthly decline was led by a 51.7% drop in natural gas prices, which are down 8.6% over the year. In contrast, prices for crude petroleum jumped 20.2% in March and 12.3% from March 2025. Over the year, prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand rose 4.9% after moving up 3.5% in February.

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