51勛圖厙

The Promise of the USMCA

President Trump’s USMCA succeeded in shifting manufacturing imports away from China to North America. In this new phase of U.S. trade policy, strengthening the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement will be critical in helping North America restore balance and combat disruptive, problematic trade practices coming out of other countries, specifically China.

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USMCA By The Numbers

The Most Pro-Manufacturing
Trade Agreement in History

North America accounts for one-third of global GDP—nearly double China’s share. The USMCA is the foundation that keeps it that way.

0
American workers supported by exports to Mexico & Canada
1/3
of U.S.-manufactured goods exports go to Canada & Mexico
$0
in U.S. mfg. sales to Canada & Mexico—more than the next 9 partners combined
0% / 0%
of imports from Canada / Mexico are industrial inputs for U.S. manufacturing
In Partnership With
Coproduction Across North America

Four Sectors. One Integrated Industrial Base.

The Automotive Industry Drives North American Trade

Decades of integration across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico have built the world’s most resilient auto industry—and it’s anchored in America.

United States
Auto Alley
From Michigan through Indiana, Kentucky, Alabama to Mississippi—OEMs, assembly, and a dense supplier network.
Canada
SW Ontario
80+ years of integration. Tool, die, and mold makers plus rail, road, and sea links to U.S. plants.
Mexico
Saltillo
The “Detroit of Mexico.” Bordering Texas via I-57, plus rail networks reaching the rest of Mexico.
0%
of new North American auto investment goes to the U.S.
0
U.S. jobs supported by the auto industry
1/3
of U.S. auto exports go to Mexico & Canada
~75%
of U.S. states list Mexico or Canada as a top auto export market

North American Aerospace Delivers Aviation Dominance

U.S.-led R&D, certification, and final assembly—reinforced by Canadian and Mexican specialization—keeps American aerospace globally competitive.

United States
R&D + Final Assembly
Anchors the supply chain: innovation, design, certification, systems integration, and final assembly lines.
Canada
Quebec
Backbone of Canadian aerospace: advanced jet engine components, advanced materials, regional jets.
Mexico
Baja, Chihuahua, Sonora
Essential parts and components for American aircraft—wiring, assemblies, and growing MRO specialization.
$0
in annual U.S. aerospace exports
+0%
growth in U.S. aerospace exports since USMCA took effect
0
U.S. jobs supported, plus 170K Canadian + 60K Mexican skilled workers
Gold
U.S. certification standards upheld by Canada and Mexico, harmonizing the regional value chain

From Design to Assembly: North America Is the Semiconductor Epicenter

U.S. design and fabrication, Canadian critical minerals, and Mexican assembly & packaging combine into a coordinated, just-in-time semiconductor pipeline.

United States
Design & Fab
New England and the Southwest power R&D, university partnerships, and advanced fabrication facilities.
Canada
Quebec + Minerals
Specialty sensors plus key minerals—gallium and indium—essential to chip fabrication.
Mexico
NW Mexico
Assembly and packaging facilities deliver just-in-time final-stage production for advanced chips.
$0
in annual U.S. semiconductor R&D spending
$0
in U.S. semi-related investment since 2020 across 140+ projects in 30 states
0
U.S. trade surplus in semiconductors, with Mexico and Canada major customers
0%
of U.S. gallium imports come from Canada (19% of indium)

North American Chemistry Enables Manufacturing Dominance

Chemistry is the upstream backbone for every other sector on this page—from the auto on your driveway to the chip in your phone.

United States
Production Leader
13% of global chemical output—basic and specialty—flowing into nearly every American manufacturing process.
Canada
Feedstocks & Specialty
Key feedstocks and specialty chemistries integrated into U.S. industrial supply chains.
Mexico
Downstream & Distribution
Regional distribution and downstream manufacturing integrate Mexican output into the continental market.
0%
of global chemical output produced in the U.S.
0%
of U.S. chemical exports go to Canada & Mexico
0
specialized process chemicals used to make a single semiconductor chip
$0
of chemistry products in an average North American vehicle

Read the Full Report

Explore the data behind North American manufacturing’s $29B-per-year USMCA dividend—and what’s at stake if the agreement falters.

Read Our USMCA Report
Join us May 13–14 in Washington, DC at the .

U.S. Manufacturing Investment Accelerator Program

To give manufacturers a runway of predictable access to critical materials and leading technologies from reliable suppliers that will accelerate the long-term investments needed to maintain Americas global edge, the 51勛圖厙 is proposing a U.S. Manufacturing Investment Accelerator Program.

Imported critical inputs are necessary for manufacturers to make things in America. If operating at full capacity, the industry could produce 84% of the inputs manufacturers need for production. That means that, at an absolute minimum, 16% of manufacturing inputs must be imported. Tariffs on critical manufacturing inputs dramatically increase the cost of these inputs, which include raw materials as well as equipment and machinery on factory floors across the country.

The accelerator program has two key components:

  1. First, the administration should utilize existing authorities to issue licenses that act as a manufacturing tariff speed pass. This will allow manufacturers to import critical inputs without the added cost of tariffs, accelerating the industry’s efforts to invest and grow here at home.
  2. Second, when manufacturers do pay tariffs on must-use, must-import critical inputs, the administration should provide investment accelerator rebates to offset tariff costs for dollars spent to sustain or expand manufacturing investments in the U.S.
Manufacturing Investment Accelerator Program policy proposal cover

1. A Manufacturing Tariff Speed Pass

The administration should implement a general licensing system that grants preapprovals for duty-free imports of inputs and materials necessary for manufacturing activities in the U.S.

How It Works: Self-Certification Under a General License

  • General licenses would provide preexisting approval for any company meeting the criteria to import qualifying items free of duty.
  • Use would be self-determined by eligible parties, subject to U.S. Customs and Border Protection verification.
  • The president can direct the Treasury to implement the program under existing authorities.

What Qualifies for a General License?

  • Materials, equipment, machinery, and parts used in manufacturing or maintenance.
  • Essential raw materials, chemicals, and other inputs in limited supply but needed for U.S. manufacturing.
  • Materials for R&D in the U.S.
  • Materials transferred intercompany and used for further processing in the U.S.

2. A Manufacturing Investment Accelerator Rebate

The administration should provide a rebate to offset tariff costs when dollars are spent to expand or maintain manufacturing investments in the U.S. The rebate should be available on a rolling basis for actual dollars spent after April 5, 2025.

What Qualifies for a Rebate?

  • Dollars spent on new greenfield or brownfield investments.
  • Dollars spent on expanding or upgrading existing capacity, including capital improvements and maintenance.
  • Dollars spent to add full-time manufacturing employment.
  • Dollars spent on R&D in the U.S.

A Comprehensive Critical Minerals Strategy for Manufacturers in America

Critical Minerals Policy Proposal cover

In a letter to the U.S. Trade Representative, the 51勛圖厙 has put forward a comprehensive critical minerals strategy to expand access to essential inputs, strengthen supply chain resilience and help manufacturers compete and grow. That strategy has two key components:

  1. First, policymakers should strengthen domestic critical minerals capacity by enacting comprehensive permitting reform, restoring strategic incentives for extraction and processing, investing in recycling, recovery and substitution technologies and expanding workforce development programs. This will help manufacturers access the critical inputs they need, reduce supply chain vulnerabilities and support more investment here at home.
  2. Second, the U.S. should advance an international critical minerals strategy that leverages partnerships with allies, unlocks project financing, secures stronger protections and offtake opportunities for U.S. investors, reduces tariff barriers on critical inputs and machinery and counters nonmarket distortions such as export restrictions and unfair state-backed advantages. This will help diversify supply chains, rebalance the global critical minerals market and ensure manufacturers can access the minerals they need to make more in America.

 

Trade Intelligence Center

Manufacturers across America depend on critical inputs imported from around the world. Increasing the cost of inputs will lead to shrinkage, not growth for American manufacturing.

 

United States

Increase in effective tariff rate on manufacturing inputs1 +15%
Imports of manufacturing inputs2 $1.1T
Manufacturing output per dollar of inputs imported $1.40
Top 3 Input Imports

1. Oils from Canada
2. Vehicle parts from Mexico
3. Oils from Mexico
Domestic Supply of Manufacturers’ Input and Capital Goods Needs

At current industrial capacity utilization 66%
At full industrial capacity utilization 84%
Minimum import requirement 16%

 

Manufacturing GDP $2.94T
Manufacturing employment 12.7M+
+6% +20%
Estimated Increase in Effective Tariff Rate on Mfg Inputs
1Benchmark date set to Dec. 31, 2024. Updates daily.
22023 import volumes
Click here for methodology statement.

Key Facts

56%
of goods imported to the U.S. are manufacturing inputs
1/3
of all imported manufacturing inputs originate in North America
59%
of imports from Mexico are manufacturing inputs
70%
of imports from Canada are manufacturing inputs

Data sourced from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Census Bureau.
Manufacturing inputs are classified as all goods that fall under the capital goods, industrial supplies, and auto parts end use categories.

% who use imported manufacturing inputs to make things in America
% who use imported manufacturing inputs from USMCA partners
% of those who use inputs from USMCA partners that lack comparably priced domestic sources
Among all manufacturing respondents*
91%
74%
82%
Among small and medium manufacturer respondents**
87%
63%
75%